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Dollar, euro steady after strong US bank results

By April 21, 2023No Comments

The US dollar and euro steadied today after strong US banking results firmed up expectations that the Federal Reserve and the European Central Bank will keep raising interest rates.

Morgan Stanley reported first quarter profit yesterday that beat expectations.

This added to rosy results from major US lenders and calming fears of a widening crisis after the failure of Silicon Valley Bank and Signature Bank and the emergency takeover of Credit Suisse by rival UBS.

The dollar index, which tracks the greenback against a basket of other major currencies, eased 0.1% to 101.89 after sliding on Friday to its lowest level since early February.

The euro edged up 0.1% to $1.0964, not far from a one-year high touched last week against the dollar.

“The banking results continue to show that the U.S. bank funding situation is stabilising,” said Bank of Singapore currency strategist Sim Moh Siong. That has pushed away bets of interest rates cuts, he said.

Comments from Fed and ECB policymakers also supported the euro and the dollar.

Fed Bank of New York President John Williams said this week that inflation was still at problematic levels and the US central bank would act to lower it.

The Fed will deliver a final 25-basis-point interest rate increase in May and then hold rates steady for the rest of 2023, according to economists in a Reuters poll.

In the euro zone, ECB policymaker Klaas Knot said inflation is still too high and a “sufficiently restrictive stance” is needed.

The ECB is expected to raise rates for a seventh meeting in a row on May 4, with policymakers converging on a 25-bp hike, even if a larger move is not yet off the table.

Traders are anticipating further cues on monetary policy from US manufacturing data tomorrow, the Bank of Japan’s meeting next week, and the Fed’s Open Market Committee (FOMC) early next month, Bank of Singapore’s Sim said.

Sterling was flat at $1.2430, but not too far from a 10-month high of $1.2545 touched on Friday.

The Aussie dollar rose 0.12% to $0.6722 after a review of the Reserve Bank of Australia released today outlined a range of reforms, including a more focused monetary policy mandate.

The Japanese yen flattened to 134.64, after trading above 135 to the dollar for the first time in a month yesterday.

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